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09/14/07

Permalink 04:00:54 am, Categories: Voices, 850 words    

How Bad Is the Climate Situation ... Really?

Don Beck

I became aware of the power of the climate decades ago in college classes that were the most interesting that I had. The professor was not talking about 'Global Warming' or 'Climate Change' at all, only about the immensity of the oceans and their affect on the climate and weather. I've since been collecting articles from around the world about recent research into the warming that has taken place (not modeling, which is somewhat suspect) and I've become amazed at how little of this research has made it's way into the US corporate media.

After two years of google alerts for "climate change" and "global Warming" I have sifted through hundreds of articles looking for info about the research being conducted. The research that has currently been coming from the scientists who are collecting data in the field is showing that the warming is accelerating......at a rate that is alarming the scientists. It is happening much faster than they anticipated.

THE WARMING IS ACCELERATING ITSELF - POSITIVE FEEDBACKS

With melting at the ice caps, there is less reflection of the Sun's rays back into space, and the darker water absorbs more heat. The melting of the tundra is producing more CO2. The oceans are reaching their limits of CO2 absorption and are now starting to release CO2 back into the atmosphere.

Don't get caught up in the arguement about whether the warming is caused by man or not. It is a moot point. It is a ruse made to confuse people and to avoid liability by the energy giants who are not willing to take the world off of it's oil addiction. There are a number of things that act on the climate such as the "positive feedbacks" just mentioned. But they are cumulative. It matters very little the percentage of each contribution.

The scientists always give projections for decades into the future, that have a high and a low probability, and they expect that it will be somewhere in between. But recently their projections have proven to be too rosy, even the worst projections are being shown to be too low, almost certainly because of the positive feedbacks starting to kick in to the equation sooner than expected.

TWO LONGTIME OBSERVERS OF GLOBAL WARMING

Clive Hamilton, author of 'Scorched', wrote an article published recently in the Couriermail of Australia: (scientists) "have for years systematically understated the dangers. Climate scientists have been afraid to talk about the true extent of the dangers of global warming. Those who have looked closely at what the scientists are concluding believe that the truth is so frightening that, if told, it will stop people from acting, rather than stimulate them to do more.

There is a cavernous gap between the urgency of the warnings from science and the political response to it. The concern among the public is way ahead of that of our politicians but it remains true that the public simply has no grasp of the magnitude of the disaster that looms ahead of us."(1) What is even scarier is that a very large part of the public still has felt no detrimental affects of the warming and are still in the mode of - You talk about global warming? Last winter I froze my butt off. The average citizen does not want to believe that there is anything wrong, and they will side with the deniers who give them hope (false hope) that things are just fine. They won't spend the time that it takes to understand the science of climate change, which has come a very long way in just the past few decades.......indeed, just the past few years.

George Mongoit, author of "Heat" (which is about global warming) recently gave a speech in which he said, in so many words, that we are finding out that the book is terribly out of date:

What we need now".... is a much tougher message than any that I've put out before..... what I thought were rather bold and revolutionary proposals in my book "Heat", those proposals don't go nearly far enough. Those proposals have been superseded and we need to start thinking on a different scale altogether. We have very very little time in which to act. We have very very little time in which to bring about the largest economical and political transformation the world has ever seen."(2)

Here is a list of articles of research science on the ground (not models, which are somewhat suspect) with the important quotes and links to the articles which were gathered from around the world by google alerts and a few science websites. http://portland.indymedia.org/en/2007/09/364754.shtml These articles should have been given much air time and print by the corporate media, but of course were not. Just count how many times the scientists say such things as "It's happening much faster than we anticipated."

References:

1) Hidden doom of climate change, Sept. 9, 07 http://www.news.com.au/couriermail/story/0,23739,22383639-27197,00.html

2) George Monbiot Updates His Global Warming Book, 8/28/07 http://www.portland.indymedia.org/en/2007/08/364255.shtml

-###-

September 14, 2007 By: Don Beck, No rights reserved.

Comments, Pingbacks:

Comment from: DrColes [Member]
In order to be an intelligent reader you must have a basic knowledge. Please do your own homework, a starting point http://www.InteliOrg.com/
Permalink 09/14/07 @ 15:15
Comment from: Joe Wheeler [Member]
Unless you can afford the time, don't bother to run over to "Dr" Cole's site. He claims to use "applied sociology" as his lens, but all that can be found are naive platitudes and rigid forms of moral platitudes, mixing up what really is going on with what he thinks ought to be going on, and by implication anyone who disagrees with his screed is unable to 'think things through'.

Item: the 'real' US is a country of principles as embodied in the US Constitution. There follows a great long list of other forms of human political and social organization, everything from socialism to "Islamic Fascism" as uniformly "un-American" and thus contrary to individual freedoms, free will and human rights, according to Cole. This is a blatant "wrapping oneself in the flag" to deceive the reader as to the writer's intentions, and in any case avoids engaging with the realpolitik of the history of the United States.

Most crucially is the entry on Cole's site entitled "The Truth Regarding CO2 and Climate change. An Inconvenient Truth Regarding Climate Change" which turns out to be one of the many disinformation sources (I don't know about this one, but most are financed by Exxon) characterizing the current dominant assessment of science as "pseudoscientific" "junk science" "claptrap" and featuring that most discredited of all right-wing corporate propaganda films "The Great Global Warming Swindle".

On the other hand, yes, if you are a student of human affairs and have some analytic tools, Dr. Cole's site is a wonderful example of the current state of corporate and capitalist denial of the horrendous problems staring us in the face. It is about as informative and revealing to the social scientist in understanding pathological thinking as the recorded ravings of a paranoid schizophrenic would be to an inquiring psychiatrist. In other words, this guy and his confreres are socially-patterned nut cases, and well-paid to be so.

They didn't give up after "The Great Global Warming Swindle" was thoroughly deconstructed and debunked, they have regrouped and are now pumping out a renewed propaganda effort; see for example an almost identical one at:
http://www.hawaiireporter.com/story.aspx?d87f58c3-be16-4959-88e2-906b7c291fd6
Permalink 09/15/07 @ 16:08
Comment from: Joe Wheeler [Member]
Forgot to mention that Dr. Coles reveals his depth of objective scholarship with this statement on his site:
"Statement Regarding Religion and Science

There is no conflict between The Supreme Being and True Science. Should there be a disagreement then we have a misunderstanding of knowledge and a correction will eventually occur. If the misunderstanding is on a religions side, then the revelation, interpretation, bias was of man not God. If there is a misunderstanding on the side of science then, science has not yet found the scientific fact and man has made an error. There is no conflict between God and Science. Science is the process by which man learns about Gods governing principals. The Bible as far as it is translated (interpreted) correctly is the record of Gods wisdom and contracts given to man."

That says it all about the real principles this commentator ultimately relies on when talking about "science".

I realize I should just ignore fanatics like him, but as a real sociologist I'm offended that he would don the mantle of sociology to mislead.
Permalink 09/15/07 @ 16:30
Comment from: cfigallo [Member]
One unfortunate outcome of the deliberate misinformation campaigns combined with the cautious underestimating of the global warming future is that the public - including our government representatives at all levels - is that no one is preparing us for potential impacts. As we know, extreme weather records are now being broken wholesale all over the planet.

Flooding, drought, heatwaves, hurricane intensity - all are demonstrating to us the impacts that even today, leading scientists describe as if they are in the future rather than in our present. I'm focusing on local adaptation based on local risk assessment, first right here in my home county and hopefully providing a proven process for others to bring their local governments up to date on the accelerating realities.

I'm blogging my research and activities at climatefrog.blogspot.com so if you've got any experience, ideas or news in that realm, come and visit.
Permalink 09/16/07 @ 17:24





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